Layout Image
  • Home
  • Book Reviews
  • About
    • About Road to Hellth
    • About Dr. Perednia
  • Contact Us
  • Legal
    • Disclosure Policy
    • Privacy Policy
    • Disclaimer
    • Terms of Use
  • Log In

Author Archive for Dr. Doug Perednia

May
15

Learning the Wrong Lesson

by Dr. Doug Perednia

We should be careful to get out of an experience only the wisdom that is in it and stop there; lest we be like the cat that sits down on a hot-stove lid.  She will never sit down on a hot–stove lid again – but also she will never sit down on a cold one anymore.

–Mark Twain

A big part of the problem with having non-medical people such as legislators and regulators govern the process of medical care and medical education is that they’re just not very good at it.  Of course this should hardly be surprising.  Why should they be?  At its very core, medicine is a scientific endeavor that happens to be tinged with decisions about the best use of scarce resources.  The vast majority of Americans, Britons, Canadians, or indeed the citizens of any country don’t know enough about medical science or medical education to fill a thimble.  Their elected representatives and regulators are in exactly the same boat.  Yet they don’t seem to have any qualms about making snap decisions that will adversely affect whole generations of their fellow citizens.

Consider the flurry of laws that have been passed to limit the number of hours that medical students and residents may work in the course of their training.  What could be more logical?  Tired people make mistakes and mistakes are bad, therefore make sure that resident physicians are never tired.  And if everything else were equal, that might be true.  But in the real world things are rarely that simple.  The problem is that inexperienced and unknowledgeable people make mistakes too; other things equal, would you rather have your doctor be tired, or inexperienced and unknowledgeable?

It may be hard for the average person to believe, but the notion of staying up for long hours to take care of patients didn’t just pop up out of nowhere.  Part of the whole idea of intensive medical training with all-night call is to cram as much experience, knowledge and continuity of care as one can possibly fit into a fixed number of years.  Time is a scarce and desirable (and therefore expensive) commodity.  If we were to allocate more years to residency training in order to make up for all of those new hours off, it will inevitably add to the cost of healthcare.  (And heaven knows that nobody wants that!)  Of course the mistakes made by inexperienced physicians will add to healthcare costs as well, but that particular thought may not occur to a legislator or regulator who has never been through the process.

The process of training doctors takes so long that unintended side effects of poor policy decisions take years to appear.  But appear they do.  It’s only now, after a few years of having these laws around that we’re seeing the result.  It’s not a pretty picture.

Just last week, a leading British surgeon who is routinely expected to work for hours on end during complex surgeries, publicly expressed his exasperation at European rules that prevent physicians in training from working more than 48 hours per week:

Edward Kiely, a consultant at Great Ormond Street Hospital, said the rule was based on a European directive “designed for Spanish lorry drivers” but was damaging to doctors’ training and disrupted “continuity of care” for patients.

He said: “It’s not correct that you can’t function properly when you’re tired. Mothers look after children. They’re often tired, but that’s the job and you get on with it.”

Kiely, who oversaw the 14-hour procedure in 2010 to separate conjoined twins Hassan and Hussein Benhaffaf, has 45 years’ experience as a surgeon, with 15,000 operations under his belt…

He said that under the old system, one surgeon would see a patient through from diagnosis to post-operative care, but now “many different doctors” would be involved.

“The continuity of care is disrupted and that is bad medicine,” said Kiely

And, of course, the limitation in hours is even worse when trainees are required to spend that time concentrating on “communication” and “teamworking” (not to mention “listening”, “sensitivity”, “ethics” and the endless typing required by electronic medical record systems) rather than the real science and practice of medical care.  A study published last year in Postgraduate Medical Journal found that:

Junior doctors reported that they did not feel equipped to care for seriously ill patients in hospital and this may have got worse, it was found.

Changes to the medical school curricula that put a greater emphasis on communication and teamwork may have been to the detriment of the basics such as treatment, prescribing and managing emergencies, the study suggested.

An analysis of research papers looking at the perceptions of newly qualified doctors published between 1993 and 2011 found in most areas junior doctors felt better prepared for the job.

However in prescribing and acute care, the picture appears to have deteriorated, the researchers said…

Co-author Dr Sam Smith, said: “Junior doctors feel prepared in communication but don’t feel prepared in acute care. There has been a lot of emphasis in training on communication lately.

“One of the reasons that junior doctors might feel more prepared in some of the other domains is the emphasis on communication and teamworking . It is very difficult to keep the same level of emphasis on other things when new things are added in.”

Oops.  One would have thought that taking care of acute illnesses would have been at the top of the medical education “to-do” list.

So how did this particular regulatory decision come to pass?  In the United States, these rules were implemented in the immediate aftermath of sad and unfortunate Libby Zion case.  And in one of the best, most educational and most enlightening explanations of the way in which many of these decisions are made in healthcare in the 21st century, we would like to bring your attention to the following except of a Medical Grand Round recently given in Portland, Oregon by Dr. Lisa Rosenbaum.

Dr. Rosenbaum is a gifted writer and speaker, who recently finished her own training in internal medicine and cardiology.  She comes from a very medical family, and happens to be the granddaughter of Dr. Edward E. Rosenbaum.  The elder Dr. Rosenbaum is the author of the book A Taste of My Own Medicine, which was later turned into the movie The Doctor.  A description of her relationship her physician grandfather is woven throughout her hour-long presentation.

Regardless of whether you are a patient, an administrator or a medical professional, this video is well worth the nine minutes it takes to watch.  It talks about how easy it is for us to learn the wrong lesson from associated events, and how important it can be have more than just a superficial knowledge of what it’s like – and how difficult it can be – to take care of patients in the real world.

 

The Banana Vomit Problem

Get Adobe Flash player

0 Categories : Business and Law, Clinical Care, Economics, Ethics, Healthcare Policy, Hellth Across The Pond, Politics, The Practice of Medicine
May
7

An Elementary Lesson On Price and Human Behavior

by Dr. Doug Perednia

It’s difficult to understand why (unless, as we highly recommend, you read Dr. Rich’s Covert Rationing Blog), but President Obama and his colleagues clearly wish to eliminate any responsibility that patients might with respect to paying for their own healthcare.  This might be a good idea if the ultimate objective is to maximize both the demand for medical goods and garner votes from the grateful masses, but it’s hardly a recipe for a healthcare system that spends its dollars wisely.  To most people, making things “free” simply removes any need to think about just how much things cost.  When is the last time you thought twice about taking an extra paper napkin at Starbucks, or felt guilty about stuffing yourself at a buffet?

This lesson was driven home to us recently by a conversation with Mr. Robert Sparkes, a retired engineer who was laid off from his job just about two years ago.  In 1984 he was diagnosed with Type II diabetes and has relied on his work-related health insurance to pay for his insulin.  To keep his blood sugar under control throughout the day he uses both Lantus, a long-acting form of insulin, and Humalog, a short-acting insulin.  The cost of both of these drugs in the U.S. is substantial.  In the U.S. both drugs are about $130 per vial, and Mr. Sparkes uses two bottles of each every month.  Glucometer test strips used to check his blood sugars are another big expense.  A box of fifty OneTouch test strips goes for $120, and he uses two boxes per month to keep his sugars under good control.  All told, that’s $700 each month just for the medications and strips Mr. Sparkes uses to manage his diabetes.  That doesn’t include a penny for doctor visits, lab tests, his other various medications or anything else.

That may seem like a lot of money, but Mr. Sparkes never gave it a second thought until last January.  When he was on private insurance all he had to worry about when buying insulin or test strips was a $5-$10 copay for each prescription.  The true cost of the drug was irrelevant.  “You don’t really have to think about it, do you?” he says.  But then his COBRA insurance, the 18 month extension of his employer’s healthcare policy, ran out.  From that moment, everything changed.

Almost overnight, Mr. Sparkes began became medical cost-cutting demon.  He swapped out his OneTouch glucometer for a brand whose strips were considerably less expensive.  He located an on-line pharmacy in Vancouver, Canada that sold Humalog for $45 per vial, although their Lantus was the same price as in the U.S.  Most of his other brand-name drugs were cheaper there as well.  For others he switched to generics.  Some of these were $4 per month at Walmart or Costco – less than the $5 co-pay that he had been paying to his insurance company.  All along in the process Mr. Sparkes was planning for the time that he would be eligible for Medicare in July.  His goal was to manage all of his medications so that he would never hit the “donut hole” in Medicare’s drug coverage.  This is a gap in coverage in which beneficiaries have to pay for their own medications until their drug spending hits a certain threshold.

Mr. Sparkes’ story easily could be Exhibit A in the museum of what’s wrong with the way we’re “reforming” American healthcare.  As part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA or “ObamaCare”) legislation, Medicare’s “donut hole” is being closed.  This will, of course, remove any need for Mr. Sparkes or his fellow Medicare beneficiaries to worry about the magnitude of their medication spending.  And on the non-Medicare side, the ACA essentially outlaws the combination of high-deductible catastrophic healthcare coverage policies and Healthcare Savings Accounts (HSAs).  Because HSAs encourage their owners to make the most efficient use of the money in their accounts, eliminating them is a great way to covert patients from careful shoppers into people who are relatively indifferent to cost.

Now let’s do a little thought experiment.  Let’s say that the ACA is successful, and patients all over the country no longer care whether the drugs they buy cost $130 per vial, or $45 per vial.  Once the patient and his economic self-interest are removed from the equation, what tools are left that will allow insurers (including Medicare and Medicaid) to control costs?

Option #1:  Force drug makers to sell their drugs for less.  Of course this has some adverse consequences, such as reducing the capital and incentive any drug maker has to create new and better drugs.  Indeed these concerns – along with intense lobbying efforts on the part of the drug makers – are largely responsible for Medicare being legally prohibited from negotiating drug prices.

Option #2:  Drop the more expensive drugs from the formulary, making it impossible to prescribe them.  This already happens in virtually all health plans that “manage care” and HMOs such as Kaiser or the VA.  Of course the losers here are clinicians, who are frustrated at their inability to prescribe the treatments that may be best for their patients, and the patients themselves who may not even know that they are receiving second-rate care.  Coincidentally, removing these drugs from circulation also removes any incentive that drug makers may have for developing and producing them, making it not much different from Option #1.

Option #3:  Have insurers claim that all medications are available to patients, but make it so bureaucratically difficult for doctors to prescribe them that for all practical purposes they cannot be used.  This is a sneakier version of Option #2, but from the bureaucratic and political perspective it retains the advantage of shifting the blame from those who set up and run the system onto those “selfish and uncaring physicians who simply don’t want to take the time to practice high-quality medicine.  This option is probably the most common one in use today, and will almost certainly become the rule rather than the exception as ObamaCare is fully implemented.

The observant reader will note that all of these are forms of “rationing” that will directly or indirectly discourage the development and use of new treatments for a wide range of diseases, simply because there will be no market for them.  Of course Mr. Sparkes engaged in rationing too after his insurance ran out, but where, when and how he went about it was up to him.  At least he had the choice to continue using more expensive drugs if they worked best for him – a choice that the ACA will quietly but surely take away.

There is one other option, however, and it’s called reference pricing.  In this case insurers can decide to pay a certain amount toward a month’s supply of a drug or treatment of a given type.  For example, a given insurer might decide that a decent heart medication of a given type (e.g. a beta blocker), should cost about $50 per month.  If patients wish to use an alternative drug that costs $75 per month they may do so by paying the difference.  Referencing pricing has been used in Europe for some time and a version is offered by many private health plans in the U.S. as a system of “tiered” pricing.

We predict that reference or tiered pricing will be less “acceptable” in the United States if President Obama is re-elected and the ACA is allowed to continue its effort to protect patients from any exposure to healthcare costs.  Despite the example of Mr. Sparkes, when it comes to healthcare Americans apparently can’t be trusted with that sort of responsibility.

0 Categories : Business and Law, Clinical Care, Economics, Ethics, Healthcare Policy, Politics, The Practice of Medicine
Apr
21

Starting Over With Healthcare Reform Is, Unfortunately, a Matter of Religion

by Dr. Doug Perednia

In our last post, we took a post-Supreme Court-hearings look at the financial and administrative disaster that the famously misnamed “Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act” (aka “Obamacare” or the “ACA”) has become.  At the same time we observed that having it overturned by the high court would provide a much-needed opportunity to wipe the healthcare slate clean and start over.

Thus, the question arises as to what sort of healthcare reform could possibly be implemented in a country that has become as politically divided (and whose discussions have become so divisive) as the United States?  We’ve been mulling over that question for some time now, and have come to believe that the answer is “not much”, at least in the current environment.  It’s certainly worth a discussion as to why.  It has to do with the very idea of what it means to compromise, and why people would wish (or refuse) to do so.

But first let’s take a minute to imagine what the situation in American healthcare will be if and when ObamaCare is completely struck down by the Supreme Court.  Many things will change, yet many things will remain the same.

  • The private insurance market will revert back to roughly where it was several years ago.  Many people will be unable to buy health insurance because it is too expensive, they have pre-existing conditions, or both;
  • The individual mandate will, of course, vanish;
  • Roughly $2 trillion of new government borrowing and spending over the next ten years will disappear;
  • The unelected and unaccountable Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB) will become an ugly memory;
  • Medicare will still force clinicians and hospitals to deploy expensive,  productivity-destroying and even defective electronic medical records nationwide;
  • Just as before the passage of the ACA, there will still be no sustainable, practical, effective and humane way to control the growth of healthcare costs – instead total expenditures will be limited by rationing care in a myriad of ways that are said not to be rationing.  These include moving people to Medicaid and Medicare programs that pay so little that clinicians cannot afford to see the patients, expanding pre-authorizations and denials for clinically appropriate tests and treatments, and reducing medical productivity with paperwork and red tape;
  • Practically speaking, clinicians will continue to be directed and held hostage by insurance company and federal bureaucrats who have little or no medical training, yet make life-and-death medical decisions on a daily basis by virtue of their requiring pre-approvals, authorizations, and blind adherence to guidelines and processes that they’ve put in place.

In short, it’s going to be one of the circles of and unsustainable hell.  Just a somewhat different unsustainable circle of hell than the one imposed by ObamaCare.

Under normal circumstances and in a rational society, one might imagine that either scenario might be unacceptable.  But circumstances in today’s United States are hardly normal or rational.  There is and cannot be progress because, in today’s political environment and discourse, there cannot be compromise.

The dictionary defines compromise as: “a settlement of differences by mutual concessions; an agreement reached by adjustment of conflicting or opposing claims, principles, etc., by reciprocal modification of demands”.

Within the memories of millions of middle-aged Americans, compromise is something that happened all the time.  If it was generally agreed that a situation was intolerable and one political party wanted it fixed one way and the other a different way, our elected representatives would actually meet and speak to one another in civil tones.  The objective was to define a process of give-and-take whereby neither party got exactly what it wanted, but an intolerable situation was made more tolerable for the benefit of the nation’s citizens.  Using compromise, Congress would create bipartisan budgets and set policies that were hardly perfect, but allowed for many of the most useful programs and initiatives that we now take for granted.   The ability to compromise in government was considered a hallmark of maturity, leadership and, frankly, patriotism.  It signaled a willingness to pull together as Americans, as if the nation and its citizens were more important than political parties and PACs.

But there was another key factor involved as well: the ability and the willingness to weigh the available economic and scientific evidence, and use that data to craft the compromise.  Lord knows that political interests and strongly held beliefs would have a powerful role in the process as well, but they were far from the only factors considered.

This has changed.  With respect to healthcare, politics has entered a realm that has far more in common with religion than anything one might recognize as science or logic.  This is a phenomenon unlike anything that we have seen for literally hundreds of years.

As recently as a few hundred years ago, fixed beliefs dominated the way healthcare decisions were made about everything from public health to treating individual patients.  Leeches were prescribed for conditions ranging from infections to mental illness.  Diseases were caused by imbalances of the four humors (black bile, yellow bile, phlegm and blood), or “vapors” spread through the air.  Only after the widespread acceptance of germ theory and the proofs afforded by vaccination, pasteurization and antibiotics did the economic and social models of healthcare begin to change.  As they did, the resource allocations devoted to healthcare began to change as well – steering more resources into intensive medical and scientific training, pharmaceuticals, public health and surgical interventions.  Shortly after the beginning of the 20th century, countries began to implement various methods of paying for the progressively larger allocations of resources used to improve health and reduce the impact of disease.  Since no data existed on the effectiveness or suitability of any given approach, each effort amounted to a grand experiment in medico-social engineering.

This was pretty much the situation until the late 1980s and early 1990s when it became clear that the cost of healthcare was rising faster than GDP in every developed country on the planet.  Something had to be done.  But a funny thing happened.  In deciding what to do, political leaders stopped dealing in experience, evidence and compromise, and began dealing in faith-based – almost religious – healthcare decision-making.

Of course in this context we’re not talking about “faith-based” in its meaning of handed down from the one true God (or the many true Gods, depending upon your religion), but instead faith-based in the sense of having fixed and immutable beliefs about things like how to run healthcare or, indeed, the whole country.  It doesn’t matter what the available evidence shows or what human experience has been, the political religions of the left and right, Republicans and Democrats, won’t tolerate alternative facts, strategies or explanations.  Doing so would be sacrilege, remediable only by human sacrifice.  Let’s take a couple of examples.

As the passage of the ACA and the recent scuffle about payment for contraception has demonstrated, many adherents of the Democratic Religion believe that it is mortally sinful for Americans to be asked to pay anything for certain services that the current Democratic administration deems to be “preventive”.  Indeed, there are many people belonging to this religion who believe that it is inherently wrong to ask anyone to pay anything for any healthcare goods and services that they might receive.  Even more devout individuals believe that access to these free goods and services should be unlimited; that no one has to right to place a limit on the care to be provided by others.    We have personally debated such people in public forums, and they are not to be swayed by any discussion of resource limitations, cost or excess demand produced by the combination of human nature and a medical smorgasbord.  Yet there is considerable evidence that all of these drawbacks exist.  There are not enough medical resources on the planet to provide all of the care demanded by a public uninhibited by cost, and no country on Earth is rich enough to pay for them.  It does not matter – for the true believer they have no relevance.  If some insurance coverage is good, a LOT must be better.

A second example of religious zeal involves the structure of health insurance itself.  Believers in a government-run single-payer system abound, and even include many of the same doctors and nurses who have experienced the growing red tape and unrealistic payment rates of Medicare and Medicaid.  It does not matter that some countries with reasonably successful health systems (like Switzerland or Germany) do not rely on single-payer systems, or that places like the United Kingdom whose single-payer NHS is a poster child for healthcare systems gone terribly, terribly wrong.

A third example is the sacrificial cult of electronic medical records.  Except for those who work at Departments of Medical Informatics or as physician “champions” for EMR vendors or health systems that are spending billions to implement the darned things, the vast majority of doctors and nurses will tell you that EMRs are a chainsaw to clinical productivity and the amount of time that we actually spend listening to and getting to know our patients and their problems.  Non-vendor, non-government studies that show that these systems save money or actually improve clinical results are scarcer than hen’s teeth, yet not a day goes by without having shamans in the Cult of EMR claim that we will see miraculous increases in efficiency, reductions in cost, improvements in health and a blooming of preventive medicine “any day now”.  The cult has grown so powerful that has been able to force clinics and hospitals to sacrifice themselves in the process; goaded by the awards and penalties handed out for the presence or absence of “meaningful use”.  It’s no great revelation that is a new technology is truly useful, beneficial and cost-effective, there is absolutely no reason that a government would need to mandate its use or bribe people to buy it.  Dr. Scot Silverstein at the Health Care Renewal blog has devoted his career to documenting the questionable engineering and lack of clinical awareness that goes into these systems, but you will not identify single iota of doubt in the pronouncements of the Office of the National Coordinator or the politicians who are receiving funds and advice from the “healthcare information technology” (HIT) industry.  Their minds are made up.  Don’t confuse them with the facts.

We could go on and on with examples, bringing up unfettered beliefs in pay-for-performance, “coordinated care”, mandatory “guidelines” of care (an oxymoron to be sure), and e-prescribing.  To be sure, these types of fixed religious beliefs extend well beyond healthcare.  In fact, they are the major source of the leadership gridlock and absence of compromise that we see in the nation today.  Democrats in California fervently believe that higher taxes and expanding entitlement programs are a path to prosperity, despite a thirty year history of higher taxes, higher deficits, and unemployment rate of 12% and a net loss of 4 million residents over the past two decades.  Republicans on the right wing of the party cling to the notion of abstinence-only sex education not because it works, but because they simply can’t (if you’ll pardon the expression) conceive of any other legitimate approach to preventing illegitimate children.  Compromise is an anathema to religious zealotry in public policy because it is the moral equivalent of heresy.  In the minds of our modern politicians and public policy makers, one can no more believe in just a little bit of HIT than a Catholic can believe in just a little bit of Christ’s divinity.  If this one key belief is right, anything else must be wrong.

The United States is blessed by a federal configuration that allows for many different ways to determine what will work and what won’t in healthcare reform.  States have a valid role to play as natural laboratories.  Massachusetts clearly served as the role model for ObamaCare, even though it was Governor Deval Patrick’s version of the legislation that was ultimately implemented, not the version that then-Governor Mitt Romney signed into law.  (Governor Patrick is now co-chair of President Obama’s re-election campaign.)  Indiana has an insurance model for its own state employees and low-income population that combines high-deductible policies with health savings accounts (HSAs) to produce high satisfaction and reductions in the growth of expenditures.

It would not take rocket scientists to clearly delineate the historic economic and health impacts of these various models and assemble the most promising elements of each from the perspective of cost and health impact.  Whole books have been written on the topic of learning from what works and what doesn’t in medicine and healthcare.  This is way real healthcare reform would be undertaken in a culture governed by facts and reality rather than dogma.  And this is exactly why we are so skeptical about the prospects of valid, sustainable healthcare reform coming out of a Congress that is divided into warring religious factions apparently incapable of considering more than the most simplistic of answers for a complex world.

You see, that’s the problem.  In order to learn from anything you have to have an open mind.

Categories : Business and Law, Clinical Care, Economics, Electronic Medical Records, Ethics, Healthcare Policy, Political Hellth, Politics, PPACA, Solving Problems
Apr
8

A Chance, However Slim, to Retrieve Healthcare from the Abyss

by Dr. Doug Perednia

If you’re like most people, by now you’re probably sick to death of hearing about the details of the arguments surrounding the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act (the “ACA” or “ObamaCare”) made recently in the Supreme Court, President Obama’s strange and almost imperial warning to the court in reply to the hearings, and the backpedaling “of course the court can overturn unconstitutional laws except it would be very unwise in this case, if you know what we mean” explanation by the attorney general of the President’s remarks.

For although these events have been excellent theater (why else would the President make such remarks given the fact that the Justices had already voted on the matter?) the real importance and the real consequences of the decision still don’t seem to have filtered through the coverage.  Perhaps this shouldn’t be surprising.  Why bother with consequences when the results won’t be known until June?  Surely there will be plenty of time then to rail against the decision, clean up whatever broken glass is lying in the streets after the inevitable reaction by one side or another, and use the decision in an attempt to twist the sentiments of the electorate.

But in their usual fashion the media and most commentators have refrained from discussing what is really at stake based upon the decision of these three justices.   We say four because there appears to be absolutely suggestion that the four liberal members of the court – Kagan, Sotomayor, Ginsburg and Breyer – have given even the slightest bit of consideration to the notion that the law might be even a little bit unconstitutional, while Alito and Thomas are supposedly reliable votes for overturning it.  That means that the fate of the future of American healthcare is in the hands of justices Scalia, Kennedy and Roberts.  What is at stake is astonishingly valuable.  Overturning the law means that our country would have the opportunity to try again; a chance to come up with a healthcare system that is fair, sustainable, efficient, effective, affordable, and preserves some modicum of individual choice.  For if one thing is clear, it is that none of those descriptors will apply to ObamaCare if it is allowed to continue to roll out as designed by its creators.

Let’s face facts, the bill that “had to be passed so that we could find out what’s in it” was packed with items that represent an impossible mix of the unworkable, the untenable, the arrogant and the just plain stupid.  Consider just a few of the highlights:

  • The CLASS Act, which was to account for $86 billion of Obamacare’s claimed $210 billion in deficit savings from 2012 -2021, was found by the CBO to be something more akin to a Ponzi scheme than a legitimate means of deficit reduction, and had to be put to euthanized by the Obama administration itself.
  • The ten year cost of the law has gone from the $940 billion projected by supporters at the time of its passage, to over $1.7 trillion as of today, and will exceed $2 trillion next year as the ten year window slides forward another notch.  But even these new estimate are clearly too low.  The Independent Payment Advisory Board – the unelected and unaccountable group of individuals who are supposed to save Medicare $500 billion solely by cutting payments to providers – faces a rocky future, even though its demise would add another half-trillion dollars to the cost of ObamaCare.  Republicans in the House have already passed a bill to repeal it, and even Democratic legislators are getting cold feet about the prospect of reducing Medicare payments below those of Medicaid, and well below the cost of actually providing healthcare services.   President Obama has promised to veto any legislation abolishing the panel that manages to make it to his desk, but even he can’t force the delivery of healthcare goods and services at below their true cost indefinitely.
  • Despite the passage and implementation of ObamaCare, (or more likely because of it), private insurance premiums have continued to grow at double-digit rates, becoming less and less affordable even before insurers are forced to incorporate the most expensive measures of guaranteed issue despite the presence of pre-existing conditions, unlimited benefits and the need for any sort of waiting period for those who may not have bothered to purchase insurance prior to being hit by a truck.  In dollar terms the freebies that the law has handed out thus far – complete coverage of preventive care and requiring that children up to 26 years old be coverable on their parents’ policies – are small potatoes.  Even if the individual mandate is not overturned by the Supreme Court, the laughably small penalties for failing to purchase health insurance practically guarantee that large swaths of the population will gladly pay them rather than pay annual premiums an order of magnitude larger.  For example, in 2016 a family of three (two parents and one child under 18) would have a flat dollar penalty of $1,737.  The current average premium for that same family is roughly $1,200 per month today, some four years earlier.
  • One of the primary mechanisms ObamaCare uses to reduce the number of uninsured Americans is to place millions of us into the already teetering Medicaid program.  Unfortunately, as Avik Roy has written about at length, the scientific evidence available to date suggests patients with Medicaid are actually more likely to die, even after adjusting for other factors, than those with no health insurance at all:

“Despite all of these adjustments, surgical patients on Medicaid were nearly twice as likely to die before leaving the hospital than those with private insurance.

Patients on Medicare were 45% more likely to die than those with private insurance; the uninsured were 74% more likely; and Medicaid patients 93% more likely. That is to say, despite the fact that we will soon spend more than $500 billion a year on Medicaid, Medicaid beneficiaries, on average, fared worse than those with no insurance at all.”

Not to mention that this expansion clearly threatens to decimate state budgets in the not-too-distant future.

  • Most recently, the General Accounting Office (GAO) published its Spring 2012 update on the long-term fiscal outlook for the Federal Government.  In it, it expressed considerable doubt about the viability of “savings” likely to be realized as a result of the ACA, conceding that: “The Trustees, CBO, and the CMS Actuary have expressed concerns about the sustainability of certain health care cost-control measures over the long term.”

We could go on and on and on in this vein.  The 2,700 pages of the original bill, (or alternatively the small-print 900-page version of the actual law as published in the Federal Register), contains one convoluted page after another of sham savings, benefits of questionable value (for example, why on earth would anyone try to solve the problem of insuring young adults up to the age of 26 by allowing them to be covered on their parents’ policy, rather than devising an affordable means of providing them low-cost catastrophic coverage of their own?), expansions of insurance programs that are already known to be defective, and mandates that are guaranteed of increasing the amount of confusion and bureaucratic overhead with no real evidence that they will improve care or reduce costs.  If anyone really doubts this we strongly encourage them to take the time to read the actual law and look at the evidence, both historical and scientific, that speaks to the probable impact of its provisions.  (If you can even figure out what they are.  Many, if not most, of the law is implemented by unelected officials such as the Secretary of HHS in the form of regulations We have written about many of them on these pages.  If they can come away from the exercise feeling confident, reassured and able to defend their optimism with facts, then we hope they’ll send us a guest post about it.  We’ll gladly publish it.  But the odds are that 99% of potential readers will be defeated by the measure’s length and indecipherable prose before they make it halfway through.  With the possible exceptions of dictionaries and cookbooks, few works are better defended against being read cover to cover.

“But surely it would be better to fix this legislation than to overturn or repeal it?” supporters might say.  “Look how long it took and how hard it was just to get this!”

If only it were true.  The Affordable Care Act is a stone castle built upon a foundation of sand.  There can be no stable, affordable and sustainable system of healthcare without taken into account – and making use of – the innate psychological and economic forces that regulate the behavior of both patients and the individuals and businesses who care for them.  Regulatory control – and ObamaCare is completely and utterly based upon regulatory control – has three inherent defects.

The first is that regulators are always regulating the past rather than the present.  Regulation works have having human being look at data collected in the past, making determinations about how to address problems, and implementing those fixes into the future.  However collecting and analyzing this data is always associated with a time lag – even with electronic reporting systems.  Taking the time to formulate good regulatory decisions takes even longer.  The result is that no matter how good they are, regulators are always addressing today’s problems with solutions based upon yesterday’s information.  By the time those solutions are canned and implemented the problems have changed and they no longer work.  Surpluses have become shortages.  Deficits have become gluts.  The individuals involved have moved on.  The science had changed.  The policies and procedures so carefully formulated are inherently obsolescent.

The second problem with regulatory control is that it is performed by people.  President Obama may be perfectly happy with the decisions made by Secretary Sebelius, but he and his supporters may be dismayed by the actions taken by her Romney-appointed successor.  Imagine the destructive impact of changing insurance regulations, provider payment and preventive care policies every four years.  Since the Secretary decides what qualifies as “preventive medicine”, those birth control pills may not be a covered benefit after all in a year.  Continuously whipsawing one-sixth of the U.S. economy is hardly a recipe for optimizing productivity.

The third and final problem with regulatory control is that healthcare is just too complicated.  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics,  over 11% of all private sector workers are in the healthcare business.  (That doesn’t include healthcare workers employed by the Veterans Administration, military, HHS, CDC or other public agencies.)  That’s about 17 million people.  There are only about 3 million people employed by the Federal government.  If anyone thinks that any government regulators, no matter how gifted, can successfully manage not only their own activities but those of a private industry five times the size of the government itself, they haven’t yet heard about the Las Vegas meeting of the GSA in 2010.

As President Obama likes to say, let’s be clear.  What’s really at stake in the decisions of those three Supreme Court Justices is whether our nation will be allowed to put this massive mistake behind us and start over with a clean slate.  In our next post we’ll discuss how even two warring political parties might be able to do something constructive with respect to overhauling healthcare.

Categories : Business and Law, Clinical Care, Economics, Ethics, Healthcare Policy, Political Hellth, Politics, PPACA, The Practice of Medicine
Mar
23

More on Our National Effort to Dumb Down Physicians

by Dr. Doug Perednia

The digital ink was barely dry on our most recent post about manipulating the training of American physicians to make them perfect Renaissance men and women, when an article was published on the topic in JAMA by the brother of President Obama’s former White House Chief of Staff, Ezekiel J. Emanuel, MD PhD, and Victor R. Fuchs, PhD.

In our last post we described how the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) recently decided to de-emphasize the sections addressing scientific knowledge in the Medical College Admissions Test (MCAT).  Instead of stodgy old biology, chemistry and statistics, the new test would emphasize psychology, ethics, cultural studies and philosophy in an effort to make physicians of the future less scientifically skilled, but more sensitive to the needs and feelings of patients and families.   We then examined yet another proposal to make physicians even more intellectually diverse by requiring them to be able to explain their medical bills to patients, again by shifting time and educational efforts from medical science to medical finance.

Against this setting Drs. Emanuel and Fuchs seem to think that we’re not doing nearly enough to dumb down and shortchange the medical training of those who will be doing our cardiac catheterizations and brain surgeries.

We don’t have full-text access to JAMA, but we do have access to a short blog piece that The Washington Post published on their proposal.  The post quotes the JAMA article thus:

“Why is medical school 4 years in length? The answer probably has to do with the Flexner Report’s recommendation in 1910 for 2 years of preclinical science training followed by 2 years of clinical training. Yet most physicians could be trained in significantly less time. Since 1997, the University of Pennsylvania has only 1 years of preclinical science training.

The important patient care skills can be obtained in less than 2 years of clinical training. The medical school at Harvard University requires students to complete only 15 months of clinical rotations….This change would be consistent with the increasing emphasis on individualized instruction and assessing students on core competencies rather than on time served. Consistent with this proposal, Texas Tech School of Medicine as well as 2 Canadian medical schools now offer 3-year programs.”

The Post then goes on to report that:

“Emanuel and Fuchs suggest reducing doctors’ training time by 30 percent, from 14 to 10 years. That would create space to train more doctors, they argue, while also reducing physicians’ debt burdens. It could also have the effect of driving down American doctors’ salaries, which are double that of doctors in most other countries, but often justified because of the profession’s expensive training costs here.”

It should therefore be no surprise that while the JAMA article is entitled: “Shortening Medical Training by 30%”, the blog entry in the Washington Post is called: “One way to cut health care costs: Cut medical training”.

Let’s take a moment to summarize:

  1. We know from our last post about carefully crafting the politically correct physician, that the American public (or at least the AAMC) wants us to be admitting medical students who know less about science, and more about cultural awareness, empathy and ethics.  This is presumably so that patients feel better about being denied care that might have helped them had their doctors only known what was wrong with them and how to treat it.
  2. Other folks have proposed substituting training in healthcare cost accounting and finance for clinical medical training early in the residency process.
  3. Drs. Emanuel and Fuchs have now decided that, once admitted to medical school, medical students are learning far more than they need to know about things like anatomy, biochemistry, pharmacology, microbiology, biostatistics, neurobiology, histology and other things that would only come in handy if one were to eventually want to diagnose and treat physical and mental diseases.
  4. Meanwhile, the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) has implemented restrictions on the number of hours medical and surgical residents may work each week.  Although these restrictions were imposed for the laudable purpose of ensuring that physicians-in-training weren’t so tired that they would make lots of mistakes, they inevitably reduce the total amount of time that medical residents spend seeing patients, discussing cases and generally learning the very serious business of being a doctor.  Any weakness in one’s medical school training will be amplified by having less time to make up the difference while undergoing on-the-job-training.
  5. As if that weren’t enough, poorly conceived, poorly executed electronic medical records have turned medical residency training from an educational experience into something more akin to secretarial school.  Attending physicians – the older and wiser doctors who have traditionally walked the wards and clinics with residents to show them the ropes of clinical care – now hold back for fear of taking too much time from their keyboard duties.  For a flavor what residency training has become in an era where administration and documentation has become more important and time-consuming than either patient care or medical education, we highly recommend this article by Michael B. Edmond, MD, MPH, MPA, and an attending physician and mentor to medical residents for over 20 years:

“Those of you who trained in the last century, as I did, will recall that the team room was the nerve center for managing the group of patients to whom you were assigned. It was a hub of activity that contained a large table where the housestaff reviewed thick paper charts, wrote their history and physicals, ate meals, and all the while shared the stories of their lives and their patients’ illnesses. It was strewn with EKGs, x-rays, photocopies of journal articles stained with coffee, and a worn edition of Harrison’s Textbook of Internal Medicine. You could walk into the team room at any time and immediately sense activity, observing multiple interactions among residents, students, and attending physicians.

Now, fast-forward to the modern-day team room: It still has a table, which if not physically then certainly figuratively much smaller and generally devoid of clutter. All of the action now occurs in the periphery of the room at a bank of computers where the housestaff sit nearly all of their working hours facing the wall. The room is silent except for the rhythmic clicking of multiple keyboards…

Before enforcement of the 80-hour workweek rule, residents would simply work longer in response to any unforeseen event, such as a patient’s sudden deterioration, or a planned event that took longer than expected. Part of the maturation process for young physicians was coming to terms with the daily unpredictability and lack of control associated with caring for acutely ill inpatients. However, the ability to stretch the day to accommodate the complexities of care has ended, and strict departure times have clearly added to the stress that our current house officers face daily….

I feel guilty if I ask the residents questions about themselves or what they did over the weekend as they type (and they are always typing), because I’m distracting them and using precious time. So I find that I don’t know them very well as people, and I suspect that they don’t know each other very well, either…  One of my colleagues, a master clinician and superb attending physician, says that he now feels guilty when he attempts to teach, because he can see the look of fright in the residents’ eyes as they wonder how the teaching session will impact their time.”

Incredible.  That we should create and maintain a system that makes attending physicians feel guilty for taking the time needed to pass on their unique and precious knowledge.  Simply incredible.

Yet amidst all of these demands culturally sensitive non-scientists who are trained faster and cheaper (solely so that the resulting doctors can be paid less), there has been absolutely no change in the level of expertise or performance expected of these same physicians by the public, by payers, by the legal system, or by the literally dozens of certifying and regulatory boards that now roam the nation.  The medical malpractice system – and clinical perfection demanded by its attorneys and juries – has not changed in 30 years.  Medical specialty boards pursue profits by filling their certification exams with needless trivia.  The federally mandated RBRVS payment system and scores of Medicare and Medicaid rules and regulations manage to suck up hours of time and money, add new “pay for performance” requirements and mandate the use of awkward and even defective electronic medical record systems, all while reducing net physician each year since the mid-1990s.

How can one country possibly be so schizophrenic, or unrealistic, about the investment it wishes to make in its physicians and the standards to which it wants them held?  And why on earth is the nation’s political leadership so obsessed with slashing physician income, when literally trillions of dollars are being wasted on administrative complexity and a host of other non-productive uses?  The money is just not there.

Let’s do a quick calculation.  There are about 800,000 clinically active physicians in the U.S.  Let’s say that each one is paid an average of $300,000.  (This is an absurdly high estimate.  The true weighted average is nowhere near that amount.  Many doctors don’t even have gross practice revenues that total that amount.)  Simple multiplication tells us that total amount of money directed toward American doctors each year is $240 billion.  Total U.S. healthcare spending in 2009 was $2.5 trillion, an order of magnitude greater than all physician income combined.  Even if every doctor in the country were forced to work for free as slaves, total medical expenses would drop by less than 10%.

Short of some actual mental illness, what would explain this sort of behavior?  Doctors are supposed to be experts on healthcare science and the management of disease.  Who will benefit from making them less expert, less trained and less experienced, all in the name of conformity, saving money, cultural values and software-mediated regimentation?  The most plausible answer is anyone who wishes to transform physicians from independent, scientifically informed advocates for patients, into relatively uninformed followers-of-guidelines.  Doctors following federally mandated guidelines for screening, diagnosing and treating patients don’t need to know any science; they just need to do what they’re told.

The end result may or may not be best for any given patient (perhaps you or a member of your family), but it will be less expense for Medicare, Medicaid and your private insurance company to have their doctors follow guidelines than to customize care.  Meanwhile given the lack of progress in reforming the world of medical malpractice liability, the blame for whatever happens continues to rest with the physician him/herself.  After all, he or she is the board-certified “expert”.

Well.  At least they were experts…

Categories : Business and Law, Clinical Care, Economics, Ethics, Healthcare Policy, Politics, The Practice of Medicine
Next Page »

RTH Post Categories

Search RTH

RTH Archives

  • May 2012 (2)
  • April 2012 (2)
  • March 2012 (5)
  • February 2012 (3)
  • January 2012 (4)
  • December 2011 (3)
  • November 2011 (3)
  • October 2011 (3)
  • September 2011 (4)
  • August 2011 (5)
  • July 2011 (3)
  • June 2011 (5)
  • May 2011 (4)
  • April 2011 (7)
  • March 2011 (4)
  • February 2011 (5)
  • January 2011 (5)
  • December 2010 (3)
  • November 2010 (3)
  • October 2010 (4)
  • September 2010 (4)
  • August 2010 (1)
  • July 2010 (3)
  • June 2010 (5)
  • May 2010 (6)
  • April 2010 (7)
  • March 2010 (8)
  • February 2010 (10)
  • January 2010 (6)
  • December 2009 (2)

Send To My Kindle

your kindle user name:
(you@kindle.com, without @kindle.com)
Approved E-mail:
(Approved E-mail that kindle will accept)
Kindle base email kindle.com | free.kindle.com
(Use kindle.com to download on wispernet or wifi, use free.kindle.com for wifi only.)
using kindle.com may incur charges)

RTH Recommends

  • Dalai's PACS Blog
  • DB's Medical Rants
  • Dr. Wes
  • Health Care Renewal
  • Musings of a Dinosaur
  • Retired Doc's Thoughts
  • Shrink Rap
  • The Covert Rationing Blog
  • The Happy Hospitalist
  • The Jobbing Doctor
  • The M.D.O.D. Blog
  • WSJ Health Blog

Recent Comments

  • Andrew_M_Garland on Medical Specialty Certification Exams: The Real Scandal
  • Andrew_M_Garland on Emergency Medicine Goes Down the Rabbit Hole in the Evergreen State
  • Porty11 on Emergency Medicine Goes Down the Rabbit Hole in the Evergreen State
  • Wade on America’s Higher Ed System Hits the Road to Hellth
  • Road To Hellth Will Medicare Bother to Learn Anything from Its Own Demonstrations? – Part II | Road To Hellth on Will Medicare Bother to Learn Anything from Its Own Demonstrations? – Part I
Road To Hellth
Copyright © 2012 All Rights Reserved
iThemes Builder by iThemes
Powered by WordPress